The CLARITY Act faces a four-way standoff among crypto firms, banks, the SEC, and structural critics over whether stablecoin platforms can pay yield to users; Senators Tillis and Alsobrooks reached a compromise in principle on March 20 banning passive yield but permitting activity-based rewards, though key industry players including Coinbase and Stripe have still not fully accepted the textThe Senate Banking Committee markup is targeted for the second half of April after Easter recess ends April 13; the bill then faces five sequential hurdles before reaching the president’s desk, leaving almost no margin for further delayPolymarket places 2026 signing odds at 63 to 66%; Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse has said 80 to 90%, though he recently pushed his expected passage timeline from April to May; JPMorgan analysts called passage by midyear a “positive catalyst for digital assets”